Pleno al 15: how to call England v Spain at Wembley

Box 15 on Quiniela matchday 9 is England v Spain: a 38-game unbeaten run against an England side that won't lose at home. Stats, team news and what to pick.

This week's Pleno al 15, the tie-breaker box on Spain's La Quiniela pools coupon, is no ordinary fixture. It's England v Spain at Wembley: a rematch of the Euro 2024 final and Spain's first competitive game as world champions. If you're filling in the Quiniela for matchday 9, box 15 asks for something harder than a home-draw-away call. You have to predict how many goals each side scores. Here's the data that actually helps.

Kick-off is Saturday 26 September at 19:45 UK time (20:45 in Spain). It opens Group 3 of League A in the 2026-27 Nations League, with Croatia and Czechia making up the group, and it's free-to-air on La 1 in Spain.

Pleno al 15: how it works and why this week is different

In the Pleno al 15 you don't pick 1, X or 2. You pick each team's goals separately from four options: 0, 1, 2 or M (three or more). A 2-1 Spain win goes down as "1" for England and "2" for Spain; a 3-1 England win would be "M" and "1".

There's a twist this week too. With the international break, there's no top-flight football on the coupon. It's ten Segunda matches and four Liga F games, with England v Spain as box 15. Spain close the next coupon as well: their game against Croatia on Tuesday the 29th in Seville is the Pleno al 15 for matchday 10.

England v Spain at Wembley: the numbers that matter

Spain arrive in London on a 38-match unbeaten run (29 wins, 9 draws), the longest ever by a European national team. Their last defeat came in March 2024, a 1-0 loss to Colombia at the London Stadium, just across town. In July they won the World Cup, beating Argentina 1-0 after extra time with a Ferran Torres goal.

England are formidable at home, though. They've won 10 of their last 11 competitive games at Wembley and haven't conceded in their last five home matches. At the World Cup they finished third, losing 2-1 to Argentina in the semi-final before beating France 6-4 in the third-place play-off, with Bukayo Saka scoring a hat-trick.

• All-time record: 28 meetings, with 14 England wins, 3 draws and 11 Spain wins.
• Recent trend: Spain have won 6 of the last 9.
• Spain's last trip to Wembley: a 2-1 Nations League win in September 2018.
• Opta's model (10,000 simulations): Spain 40.2%, draw 26.2%, England 33.6%.
• Market odds: Spain 2.45, draw 3.40, England 2.65; both teams to score, 1.65.

Notice something: both teams scored in each of the last three meetings, and two of them ended 2-1 to Spain. In Pleno al 15 terms, every one of those boxes was a 1, a 2 or an M. None was a 0.

Team news: Tuchel's midfield takes a hit

Thomas Tuchel, whose England record reads 17 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 22 games, is without Declan Rice, Cole Palmer, Marcus Rashford, Kobbie Mainoo and Tino Livramento. James Garner and Morgan Gibbs-White have been called up as cover. The main threat is still the Harry Kane–Jude Bellingham axis, and Bellingham has 7 goals in 10 England games in 2026.

Luis de la Fuente loses Pedro Porro (Iván Fresneda comes in), but his wingers are fully fit again, with Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams both available. Up front, Mikel Oyarzabal, who scored the winner in the Berlin final, has 19 goals and 7 assists in his last 25 games for Spain.

What to put in this week's Pleno al 15

No score is a sure thing, but there is a sensible way to spread the risk. Here's what the numbers point to:

1. Avoid a 0 in Spain's box. With Yamal, Nico Williams and Oyarzabal all available and 38 games unbeaten, it's the least likely outcome for the world champions.
2. 1-1 and 1-2 are the core picks. They fit a tight game with a slight Spanish edge and goals at both ends, which is what the odds suggest.
3. M is a value shot, not a banker. The market has over 2.5 goals at close to 50-50, but an M needs three goals from a single team.
4. If you play several lines, or run a pool with friends, split them: one line on 1-1, one on 1-2 and, if you want to go against the crowd, one on 2-1 to England, who simply don't lose at home right now.

And don't forget the rest of the coupon. With ten Segunda matches and four Liga F games, the 14 correct picks you need to unlock box 15 will be decided a long way from Wembley. If you're new to how the coupon is built, the how it works page covers the basics.

If you'll be arguing with your mates on Saturday about whether Spain can win at Wembley or whether Kane will score again, why not settle it properly? On quiniPrats you can set up a private prediction league with friends in a couple of minutes: everyone makes their picks and the table updates itself. Give it a go if you fancy it.