Quiniela matchday 11 preview: all 15 games and times

All 15 fixtures on quiniela matchday 11, with kick-off times and the market, public and tipster probabilities. No tips — just the numbers.

Here is the quiniela matchday 11 preview for 2026-27: all 15 fixtures on the coupon, their kick-off times and the probabilities behind every outcome before entries close. La Quiniela is Spain's state-run football pools — you fill in a coupon with 1 (home win), X (draw) or 2 (away win) for fourteen matches, plus a fifteenth 'Pleno al 15' where you pick each side's goals. With the top flight paused for the international break, this week's coupon is ten Segunda División games, four from Liga F (the women's top division) and Spain v Czech Republic in the Pleno. The action starts on Saturday at 14:00 with Albacete - Eibar and ends on Monday at 20:30 with Córdoba - Tenerife. All times are Spanish peninsular time (CEST). As always there are three sets of percentages that tell different stories: the market (Betfair, real money at stake), the public (LAE's own figures for how the coupons were filled in) and the tipsters of eduardolosilla.es. This is not a tip sheet or a coupon: these are the numbers, and the conclusions are yours.

The matches that will decide the round

3. Cádiz - Leganés

The most open game on the coupon. The market splits it 33.08% / 29.61% / 37.31%, leaving just 7.7 points between the likeliest and least likely outcome — about as close to a three-way coin toss as football gets. The table tells a different tale: Cádiz are 20th with 4 points from seven games, Leganés 10th with 11. That the price stays this flat says a lot about how much weight the market puts on home advantage. The public agrees completely, going 32% on the 1, 30% on the X and 38% on the 2 — almost a carbon copy of the market. The only recent meeting on the coupon was a 3-0 Cádiz win last season.

1. Albacete - Eibar

The opening game, Saturday 14:00 at the Carlos Belmonte, is the most eye-catching of the lot. On paper it's a mismatch: Albacete are bottom with 1 point and no wins from seven, while Eibar are second on 18 points with five straight wins. And yet the market prices it at 33.67% / 28.28% / 38.05%: Eibar are favourites, but only by 9.77 points, with more than six chances in ten shared between the home win and the draw. The public sees it very differently, putting 53% on the away win — 14.95 points above the market — and the tipsters are at 53.83%. It's the kind of game where the league table and the price are telling two different stories.

13. Madrid CFF - Athletic Club Women

A top-of-the-table clash in Liga F: after five rounds Madrid CFF are third on 12 points and Athletic fourth on 10. The market has it 32.34% / 27.79% / 39.87%, making the visitors narrow favourites by 12.08 points. The public reads it the other way round: 48% on the home win, 15.66 points more than the market, and just 26% on the away win, 13.87 points less. The tipsters sit in between at 41.43% on the 1. The coupon's history favours the hosts (5 home wins, 1 draw, 3 away wins), although the last meeting finished 0-2.

11. Barcelona Women - Real Madrid Women

The closest thing to a settled game this week, and still the most special: it's the first league Clásico in women's football to be played at the Spotify Camp Nou, on Sunday at 17:00. Barcelona arrive top with a perfect record (15 points) and Real Madrid are second on 13. The market has 70.42% on the home win, 17.75% on the draw and 11.83% on the away win — a 58.59-point gap, the second widest on the coupon after Castellón - Ceuta. But 70.42% is not a certainty: put another way, the market expects Barcelona not to win this one roughly three times in ten. The public (75%) and the tipsters (86.35%) are even more convinced.

Where the public and the market disagree

Subtract the market's percentage from the public's, outcome by outcome, and you can see where the coupons are piling up. A positive number means the crowd is backing that outcome more heavily than the money prices it. It's not an instruction or a signal — just an observation about where the crowd is looking.

• 8. Las Palmas - Real Valladolid — the biggest gap of the round: the public has 60% on the home win while the market prices it at 42.48%, a difference of 17.52 points. The away win goes the other way: 16% from the public against 28.4% from the market, 12.4 points lower.
• 13. Madrid CFF - Athletic Club Women — 15.66 points extra on the home win in a game the market tilts towards Athletic.
• 4. Sabadell - FC Andorra — 60% from the public on the 1 against 44.84% from the market: 15.16 points over. The two have never met on the coupon, so there is no history for the crowd to lean on.
• 1. Albacete - Eibar — 14.95 points extra on Eibar's away win.
• 10. Córdoba - Tenerife — the clearest gap in the opposite direction: the market prices the home win at 48.17%, but the public gives it only 39%, 9.17 points less, and pushes the away win up to 31%.

All 15 matches: kick-off times and probabilities

The first fourteen lines show the market split (1 / X / 2); the fifteenth is the Pleno al 15. All times are Spanish peninsular time (CEST).

• 1. Albacete - Eibar · Saturday 14:00 — 1: 33.67% · X: 28.28% · 2: 38.05%
• 2. Almería - Burgos · Saturday 16:15 — 1: 57.72% · X: 24.52% · 2: 17.76%
• 3. Cádiz - Leganés · Saturday 18:30 — 1: 33.08% · X: 29.61% · 2: 37.31%
• 4. Sabadell - FC Andorra · Saturday 18:30 — 1: 44.84% · X: 29.01% · 2: 26.15%
• 5. Real Sociedad B - Granada · Sunday 14:00 — 1: 36.91% · X: 28.77% · 2: 34.32%
• 6. Sporting Gijón - Celta Fortuna · Sunday 16:15 — 1: 59.66% · X: 23.04% · 2: 17.3%
• 7. Castellón - Ceuta · Sunday 18:30 — 1: 74.28% · X: 15.61% · 2: 10.11%
• 8. Las Palmas - Real Valladolid · Sunday 18:30 — 1: 42.48% · X: 29.12% · 2: 28.4%
• 9. Girona - Mallorca · Sunday 21:00 — 1: 42.99% · X: 27.67% · 2: 29.34%
• 10. Córdoba - Tenerife · Monday 20:30 — 1: 48.17% · X: 27.1% · 2: 24.73%
• 11. Barcelona Women - Real Madrid Women · Sunday 17:00 — 1: 70.42% · X: 17.75% · 2: 11.83%
• 12. Deportivo Women - Atlético Madrid Women · Saturday 16:00 — 1: 16.81% · X: 21.73% · 2: 61.46%
• 13. Madrid CFF - Athletic Club Women · Saturday 18:00 — 1: 32.34% · X: 27.79% · 2: 39.87%
• 14. Tenerife Women - Logroño Women · Sunday 12:00 — 1: 41.39% · X: 27.38% · 2: 31.23%
• 15. Pleno al 15 · Spain - Czech Republic · Saturday 20:45 — Spain 0: 1.34% / 1: 5.79% / 2: 12.48% / M: 80.39% — Czech Republic 0: 59.86% / 1: 30.72% / 2: 7.88% / M: 1.54%

The Pleno al 15 works differently from the other fourteen lines: instead of picking 1, X or 2, you predict how many goals each team scores. There are four options per side — 0, 1, 2 and M — and M means 'more than two', so three goals or more. For this Nations League game, Spain v Czech Republic, the market gives 80.39% to Spain scoring three or more and 59.86% to the Czech Republic failing to score. The public is a little less bullish on Spain, at 62% on their M.

What the history says

The quiniela keeps a record of every fixture, and sometimes that memory and today's price point in different directions.

• Córdoba - Tenerife: 17 home wins, 8 draws and not a single away win in the coupon's history. It's the most one-sided record of the round, yet the market still prices the away win at 24.73%.
• Las Palmas - Real Valladolid: 12-8-1 in the hosts' favour, with 2-1 home wins in each of the last two seasons. Here the public (60%) is far closer to the history than the market (42.48%).
• Albacete - Eibar: 7-3-4 to Albacete overall, but the last two meetings were away wins (0-1 and 0-3). The long view and the recent one point in different directions.
• Barcelona Women - Real Madrid Women: 6 Barcelona wins and 1 for Real Madrid, no draws, with a 4-0 last time. History and market say the same thing.
• Deportivo Women - Atlético Madrid Women: 2 draws and 2 Atlético wins; the last two seasons ended 0-0 and 1-1. The market has the away win at 61.46% and the draw at only 21.73%.
• Castellón - Ceuta: the round's biggest favourite (74.28% on the 1) has only a short record, 3-2-1, and the last meeting was a 3-3.
• Sabadell - FC Andorra and Sporting Gijón - Celta Fortuna come up 0-0-0: no previous meetings on the coupon. That says nothing about their strength — only that these fixtures have never appeared before.

Once you have the times and the numbers, the fun part is comparing them with your friends. On quiniPrats you can set up a private pool for matchday 11, invite whoever you like and see your coupons side by side when the results come in. A weekend without the top flight can still be a good one.